Marek Siwiec MEP on Poland & Europe

The elections in Ukraine will be held in 5 days. The experience shows that everywhere in the world the results will be a projection of current surveys. So what do they look like?

The ruling party (Party of Regions) leads with a score of 22%. The second and third place are occupied ex aequo by Vitaly Klitschko’s UDAR and the coalition of the imprisoned Yulia Tymoshenko – the two parties have 15%. To the Supreme Council may also enter the Communists (around 10%). The party of Natalia Korolevska (previously associated with the former Prime Minister) also has some chances (3%), although the result is below the 5-percent threshold.

When I say “everywhere in the world”, I can safely add “outside Ukraine” because the survey results presented above concern only a half of seats selected through the proportional election. The rest will be selected in majority election in single-mandate districts and there it is difficult to point favourites. The authorities and the Party of Regions have activated all assets to make their people win while UDAR and Batkivshchyna have presented a common candidate only in 6 districts (out of 225).

Thus, we know very little about the final composition of the Supreme Court. The important factor is the future power of Klitschko’s party at the parliament. He does surprisingly well though in public debate he moves less deftly than in the boxing ring. For many people, however, Klitschko already today becomes the most serious challenger to Yanukovych in the next presidential election.

We begin the observers’ work on Friday. Most of the EP envoys will be deployed around the country and I decided to go to Dnipropetrovsk.

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