A legislative package adopted recently by the Verkhovna Rada furnishes Ukrainian authorities with the right to harass the opposition not “under the pretext” but “due to” their failure to obey the law. This is a more dangerous weapon when hidden in holsters than in direct use.
Everyone knows that Maidan protesters breach the law. The blockade and occupation of public buildings throughout these long weeks could not take place in any other countries I know. Apart from the blockades of Champs-Élysées, Times Square or the crossroad of Aleje Jerozolimskie and Marszałkowska street in Warsaw.
The authorities feel that they have got permission from the rest of the country to take a harder line. As much as I sympathise with the demonstrators, it is a well-known fact that it is very easy to find a paragraph the opposition breaches.
And therefore, every institution in Ukraine – the police, courts, prosecutors’ offices – may now refer to those paragraphs in a more exacerbated way. With no control, no protest – reaching a threatening effect. The prospects of changing the authorities are little.
We are thus, in a very difficult moment in history of Maidan, a time bomb is just waiting to go off. The leaders of Maidan radicalize themselves, which fully pleases the hawks from the Party of the Regions. They are ready to use any excuse to show their teeth.
The World Economic Forum starts in Davos this week. On Wednesday, there is a discussion about Ukraine. It will be less flashy than last year. As far as I know, there will be less people present, but Yatseniuk and Klitscho are expected to be there.
We will see what they will say but I am convinced now that without a wise mediation from outside the Ukraine, there will be no good scenario for this country.