Intuition vs. statistics

Posted by Marek Siwiec MEP on 07/11/12

This morning Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski via twitter made a ‘political analysis’ of Barack Obama’s victory – ‘My intuition once again told me rightly that with the polls on a knife-edge the current President has an advantage’. It is a little embarrassing for the incumbent Minister of Foreign Affairs. Embarrassing – because it is [...]

Campaign, at close range

Posted by Marek Siwiec MEP on 05/10/12

Yesterday I wrote that the debate looks differently if you follow it on the spot. For Denver, and especially for its university, it was a feast prepared for a long time. I don t want to enter into the technical matters – where, who, when, because it’s routine. Students created the ambience of the debate. [...]

Straight from Denver

Posted by Marek Siwiec MEP on 04/10/12

If you want to understand what a debate means in American political culture you have to watch it on the spot. This year, the first debate was held in Denver. The same town which, four years ago, brought happiness to Obama. The Democratic Convention finale was held in a huge stadium and led senator Obama [...]

What Mitt will say?

Posted by Marek Siwiec MEP on 26/07/12

American politicians are trying to guess or predict, according to American doctrines, who may be Mitt Romney as president of the United States. It is not an easy task because the Republican candidate started his contacts with the world by hosting in his family house, in his youth, an Italian student. Then he visited Europe [...]

Julia invades the election

Posted by Marek Siwiec MEP on 04/05/12

No, this time I will not write about Yulia Tymoshenko and Ukraine. Another Julia just invaded the election in the US. And more precisely – 12 Julias. This is the number of images of women included in The Life of Julia, which Barack Obama presents to voters. Looking at the individual images in white background [...]

Marek Siwiec MEP on Poland & Europe rss

Marek Siwiec, Polish Member of the European Parliament, writes about European Neighbourhood Policy, defence policy, Polish Presidency of the EU Council, Polish politics and other topics related to European and international affairs. more.



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