Marek Siwiec MEP on Poland & Europe

Some claimed that venison with apple puree preceded by sturgeon in celery sauce would change the result of the Vilnius summit. The elegant dinner was full of courtesy and statements about the indivisibility of the continent, but it did not change the final outcome. We can expect the diplomatic relations with Ukraine to cool down but it will not be another Cold War.

I have an impression that the triumph Moscow is now achieving may be a Phyrric victory. I do not believe either in the cheap gas or the billions of dollars offered to Kiev for the u-turn of Yanukovych in Vilnius. Kremlin would wish something more- the whole Ukraine. Much will depend here on the Ukrainians alone. If they oppose politically, openly and effectively that their country were included in the empire, the result of the blackmail will contrary to Russia´s intention.

After the Vilnius summit another phase of Kiev´s policy of cruising between the East and the West will begin. The phase that Kiev is so in love with. The distance is shorter but more is at stake. There will also come a time for talks about money and economy. Russia tries to scary the Ukrainians with poverty that can result from closer ties of their country and the EU. Not many people know, however, that immediate introduction of the free trade agreement only in the first year could increase Ukraine´s sales for 0,5 billion Euro, which would multiply the following year. Time will come also for us to get to know what now is kept secret- the conditions on which Kremlin is willing to throw life buoy to Kiev.

Today, there are many speculations in political comments. The case of Yulia Tymoshenko and other conditions of the EU suddenly stopped being mentioned any more.

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